Savings / Information
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Savings & Investments
Information Centre
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- Selecting an Investment Fund
- Structuring Your Investment Portfolio
- 10 Basic Rules for New Investors
- Key Principles in Investing
- Falling Stock Markets - What to do?
- Equity Markets - Realistic Expectations
- Historic Stock Market Returns
- Risk, Access, Objectives, Security
- Risk and Returns - the Relationship between them
- Diversification - Number of stocks in an Investors
Portfolio
- Inflation - Protecting your wealth
- Special Savings Incentive Accounts (SSIA’s) Key
Details
- Pooled Investments
- Tracker Bonds
- With Profit Bonds
- Theme Funds
- Indexed Funds
- Consensus Funds
- Hedge Funds
- Corporate Bond Funds
- Income Producing Funds
- Property Investments
- Effect of Leverage/Gearing
- Performance Variations
between Property and Equities
- Growth of Property Prices
in Ireland
- Property Funds
- How Property Funds Operate
- Recent Performance of
Property Funds
- Key Aspects to consider
when Purchasing Property funds
- Off Shore Funds
- Tips for Buying Direct Equities
- Investment Portfolio Asset Allocation
- Investment Jargon Explained
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Investment Style
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This is divided into two main styles - growth investing and
value investing. Growth investors buy into companies whose turnover
or earnings are growing faster than the overall economy of those of
similar companies. Even if the shares are expensive relative to the
underlying value of assets, the investor believes that the ability of
the company to grow faster than other companies will drive its share
price ahead of the market.
Value investors examine stocks lists for companies whose share prices
are cheaper (in terms of price earnings multiplies or relative to net
asset values) than those of other companies in their sector. Buying
relatively cheap shares can be a good strategy in an accelerating economy
when most companies should benefit from economic expansion.
The key thing is to look for fund managers that can adjust their approach
or switch styles as market condition change, which is easier said than
done in practice.
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1. Selecting an Investment Fund Style
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Warren Buffett is on record as saying, " most investors,
both institutional and individual will find that the best
way to own common stocks is through an index fund that charges
minimal fees "
The key is costs, both the entry charges and in particular the annual
management fee can and do account for a significant portion of fund
managers Investment returns. In addition, a good choice of indexed funds
is also important where one can switch and nowadays switch without crystallising
a tax liability.
Research has determined that portfolio performance is most
affected by asset-class selection, according to investment
expert Mr. Larry Chambers in " The First Time Investor
". Mr. Chambers claims that 94% of performance is attributable
to asset allocation, 4% to stock selection and just 2% to
market timing.
Not the kind of statistics fund managers who charge high
fees would like to get around.
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2. Structuring Your Investment Portfolio -basic Principles
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" October, this is one of the peculiarly dangerous
months to speculate in stocks. The others
are July, January, September, April, November, March, May,
June, December, August and February ".
The above frequently quoted phrase should outline that
stock market investing involves risk, nobody has all the
answers and its important you clarify your objectives before
making any such investment. It’s important to understand
and clarify your views on the following four issues, namely
Risk, Access, Investment Objectives, and Security.
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3. 10 Basic Rules for New Investors
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| 1. Start with the basics for long-term
investing |
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Begin by setting aside in cash at least two to six months’
living expenses -an emergency fund that will be available
in the event of illness or a period of unemployment. Then
take advantage of employer-sponsored pension plans by contributing
up to the maximum amount allowed. Finally, commit yourself
to regular investing now so that you and your family will
have enough later.
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| 2. Get Started now |
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Every year you put off investing makes accomplishing your
ultimate retirement goals even more difficult. As a rule
of thumb, for every five years you wait, you may need to
double your monthly investment amount to achieve the same
retirement income. Social welfare and pension plans are
not enough for a comfortable retirement.
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| 3. Know Yourself |
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Understand yourself as an investor, your emotions, your
fears, and your tolerance for risk. Make sure you choose
investments that you’re comfortable with and that are appropriate
for your long-term goals.
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| 4. Invest for growth |
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Invest in stocks, either individually or in pooled investment
funds, for long-term growth. While in any given year, stocks
can be more volatile than other investments, over time,
stocks have typically out-performed all other types of investments
while staying ahead of inflation. Stocks should be at the
core of a long-term investment portfolio.
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| 5. Take a long-term view |
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Patience is a virtue. Maintain the discipline to hold onto
or add to appropriate investments through down markets as
well as up markets.
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| 6. Build a diversified portfolio
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In deciding how to allocate your assets, be sure to diversify,
both among asset classes ( stocks, property, bonds,
and cash equivalents ), and within each class. Choose
an appropriate asset allocation model. Doing so can spread
risk over a variety of investments and may provide more
consistent and reliable returns. For many investors, broad-based
index funds are an excellent investment strategy. Index
funds are a sound, low-cost choice for a core holding designed
to track the market’s performance.
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| 7. Consider bonds and cash for
diversification and income |
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Bonds and cash can play an important role in an investor’s
portfolio, providing solutions for income and diversification
needs. But to achieve your long-term growth objectives,
look to stocks and pooled investment funds.
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| 8. Minimise your expenses |
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Over the long run, high entry charges, annual management
fees can drag down the performance of even a well-diversified
portfolio. Annual management fees eat into your profits
every year. For example, if you invest €25,000 with an annual
growth of 8 %, choosing a fund with management expenses
just 1 % higher would reduce the value of your fund
by €1,580 after only 5 years. Reduce your investment expenses
by using pooled funds with no or low entry charges, low-cost
stock broking services, and tax-efficient pooled investments.
For many investors a buy and hold strategy can minimise
the impact of taxes.
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| 9. Stay on track |
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Review your portfolio at least once a year, and certainly
whenever personal circumstances change. You’ll need to evaluate
the performance of your investments against relevant risk-adjusted
benchmarks, and, when necessary, to re-balance your portfolio
to stay on track with your long-term financial plan.
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| 10. Become a life long investor
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Investing for growth shouldn’t stop when you retire. To
make your money work for you throughout your retirement
years, keep investing a portion of your portfolio for growth.
Don’t automatically shift all your money into fixed-income
and money market investments too early. A good rule of thumb
is that the percentage of your total portfolio invested
in cash and bonds should be the same as your age.
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4. Key Principles in Investing
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Expert opinion remains divided
on the specific detail, but there is a common consensus about
key principles, those include:
- All four asset classes - shares, property, bonds and
cash should be used in a portfolio,
- The share component should contain at least 12/15 stocks
to minimise stock specific risk
- The longer you can afford to invest for, the greater
portion you should invest in stocks
- The more risk averse you are the more you should invest
in bonds and cash.
- The sooner you need access to your investments (e.g.
retirement) the more you should invest in bonds and cash
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5. Falling Stock markets - What to do?
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Don’t be panicked into selling your shares in a falling
stock market. Missing the best 10 days over a five-year
investment period could cut your investment return in half.
See Table 1. If you invested $10,000 in the MSCI World Index
in 1995, five years later your investment would be worth
$16,632 - an average annual return of 10.71 per cent. But
if you decided to sell your holdings and missed the market’s
20 best days - your return plummets from 10.71 per cent
per annum to just 0.78 per cent per annum.
In addition, by waiting to invest until the market ‘looks
cheap’ you may cheat yourself out of the best performances.
Trying to time the market and buy at the bottom is not easy
and may prove a costly exercise. History has repeatedly
shown us that it is time and not timing that counts when
it comes to achieving high investment returns. The smart
investor has a long-term view and overlook daily market
fluctuations and understand that discipline and patience
are the keys to successful investing.
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Table 1
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MSCI World Index ( $ ) |
S &P 500 ( $ ) |
FTSE 100 All Share (STG £ ) |
| Period of investment |
Avg. annual Growth and Total return $ 10,000
invested |
Avg. annual Growth and Total return $10,000 invested |
Avg. annual Growth and Total return STG£10,000
invested |
| Fully Invested |
10.71% / $16,632 |
18.33% / $23,196 |
13.90% /STG£19,168 |
| Miss 10 best days |
5.5% / $12,762 |
9.24% / $ 15,557 |
7.45% / STG£14,321 |
| Miss 20 best days |
0.78% / $10,394 |
2.98% / $ 11,583 |
2.96% /STG£11,572 |
| Miss 30 best days |
-2.85% / $ 8,675 |
-2.075% / $9,006 |
-1.05% /STG£9,488 |
Source: Datastream, Standard and Poor’s, Bloomberg
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6. Equity Markets - Realistic Expectations!
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The long-term average annualised returns from the stock
market are closer to 10 to 12 per cent. The dotcom share
price boom, where technology share prices doubled and tripled
over weeks and months, is not anything close to normal share
price behaviour. Historic returns as seen in the table below
give a reliable track record of stock market performance.
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7. Historical Stock Market Returns
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Statistics show that the Dow Jones Industrial Average had
69 positive years compared to 32 negative years since 1900.
The markets 32 negative years averaged -13.19 per cent return
while the 69 positive years averaged 22.39 per cent (Source:
Towers Data 2001). The market was up roughly two out of
three times since 1900. Past performance does not guarantee
future returns.
| Time Period (years) |
Start Date To 31/12/00 |
Dow Jones Industrial Average % Annual Return |
| 70 |
31/12/30 |
10.88 |
| 50 |
31/12/50 |
12.36 |
| 25 |
31/12/75 |
15.03 |
| 10 |
31/12/90 |
17.88 |
| 5 |
31/12/95 |
18.21 |
| 1 |
31/12/99 |
-4.66 |
Source: TowersData 2001. |
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8. Risk
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The various levels of risk are
defined here and should be used as a guide to the selection
of investment products
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| No Risk |
This is where your capital is
fully secure and your returns are guaranteed also. Deposit
accounts are a good example of no risk investment products.
The historic returns on such investments have tended to be
low.
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| Low Risk |
Government/corporate bonds can
be described as low risk investment products, in that your
capital and income is only guaranteed if you hold the instrument
until a specified date. Should you decide to encash your investment
early, then your capital investment may fall.
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| Medium Risk |
Is where you are a little more
adventurous with your money, you will risk some of the capital
but at the same time you don’t want to gamble the house. Examples
of medium risk investments are managed funds where the equity
component is usually between 50 per cent and 70 per cent and
the remainder of the fund is split between property, government
bonds and cash.
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| High Risk |
Is where you’re prepared to suffer
sharp price swings - 40 per cent moves and more over days
rather than weeks are not uncommon. High-risk investments
are ones that you are confident will show big returns over
the long term. Buying a single stock is high risk, as are
company shares with high earnings growth expectations (high
P/E) which are expected years from now and are already built
into the price. Even higher risk are derivative products,
where investors put up a small margin of the overall investment
amount but are liable for the full amounts. A diversified
portfolio will always reduce your risk
All investments contain some element of risk, some investments
are inherently more risky than other investors. As a general
guide we have rated the different asset classes in terms of
risk below.
| Asset Class |
Level of Risk |
| Deposits |
XX |
| Bonds |
XXX |
| Property |
XXXX |
| Shares |
XXXXX |
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| Access |
How long are you willing to invest
your money for? If you need access to your money in less than
five years, you really should avoid stocks or property based
investments.
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| Objectives |
Depending on what your objectives
are will clearly influence your investment selection. If you
are looking for high returns, you must be willing to accept
high risk. Alternatively, if income generation is your top
priority, you may be satisfied with a lower return and therefore
a lower level of risk.
The key is to select an investment portfolio, then stay invested
for the long term, and avoid trying to time the market. In
addition, it is important to avoid panicking when the market
dips, as it inevitably will but be patient and wait for the
market recovery.
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| Security |
If one requires capital security, one should
consider deposits, or the higher yielding Tracker Bonds and With Profit
Bonds provided you can live without your monies for the investment term
as specified which can be between 5 and 10 years.
Such security usually comes at a price, the price being often
a lower return in the long term. However, With Profit Bonds
appear to defy this assumption, based on historic performance.
However, please take note that past performance is no guide
to future returns.
In general, the younger you are the more Investment risk you
can afford to take. As you go through life, it is generally
adviseable to reduce your exposure to riskier assets. The
reason for this is simple, the younger you are the more time
you have to get through the ups and downs (i.e. investment
risk) but should reap the rewards in terms of higher returns
also.
History has thought us some valuable lessons when it comes
to investing
- Do not borrow to fund your equity investments. The worst victims
of all stock market crashes/corrections are those who have borrowed
heavily.
- Invest for the long term. Assets that provide the best
long-term return are also the ones that can drop dramatically
in the short term.
- Ensure your portfolio is adequately diversified. If
you are diversified into shares, bonds, property and cash
you are far more immune from problems in any one area.
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Growth of €1,000
invested in 1970
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Source: Davys
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9. Risk and Return - the Relationship between them
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Investment return is highly correlated
with risk, that is, the higher level of risk taken the higher
potential return.
As a general guide, the asset classes are ranked in according
to return potential.
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| Asset Class |
Investment Returns |
| Deposits |
%% |
| Bonds |
%%% |
| Property |
%%%% |
| Shares |
%%%%% |
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Investment Returns
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10 years |
20 years |
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(Returns per Annum) |
| Equities |
20.2% |
18.9% |
| Bonds |
17.0% |
17.6% |
| Property |
16.8% |
14.0% |
| Cash |
6.8% |
9.6% |
| Inflation |
2.5% |
4.8% |
Source: Davys
Over the past century, it has been clear that investment returns
are directly related to the level of risk you take.
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Risk Vs Returns

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10. Diversification - Number of stock in an Investors Portfolio
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A key component of any investment
portfolio will always be diversification, between asset classes
and for example, between stocks/properties within an asset
class.
While many Irish investors would automatically categorise themselves as
low risk investors, many of their investment portfolios are high risk.
This is because they have poorly diversified equity portfolios, as recent
Irish research below indicates. The research was carried out before Eircom
went private. The average number of shares in an Irish investor’s portfolio
was 1.9, which by any standards is very concentrated. A recommended number
of stocks in a portfolio are 12 to 15, with many managed funds having
70 to 120 stocks, representing different geographic regions and different
industry sectors.
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Irish Investors Portfolio
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| Eircom only |
23% |
| One Company only (excl Eircom) |
42% |
| Two Companies |
21% |
| Three Companies |
7% |
| Four Companies |
4% |
| Five + Companies |
3% |
Source: Lansdowne Market Research
'Money is like manure - you have to spread it around or
it smells’ J. Paul Getty
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11. Inflation - Protecting your wealth
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Inflation in simple terms is the rate at which your money
loses its ability to buy things.
Since 1966, inflation has averaged 7.8% per annum. While
our current rate of inflation (5.5%) is significantly lower
than the 20.9% it reached in 1975, nevertheless, at 5.5%
your income and wealth would lose over 40% of its value
every ten years.
If your money is on deposit, and with interest rates at
historically low levels, after-tax deposit rates are below
the current rate of inflation; therefore your money is falling
in value in real terms, i.e. its purchasing value is falling.
For example, if you had put €10,000 into a deposit
account in 1971 and let the interest accumulate, the account
would now be worth €50,000. But due to inflation €50,000
today could only buy what €5,000 bought in 1971 so
your money has lost half its value in real terms.
The most effective way of inflation proofing your wealth
is by investing a significant portion of your wealth in
assets (shares, property) that historically have substantially
outperformed inflation in the long term.
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12. Special Savings Incentive Accounts (SSIA’s) Key Details (closed
to new accounts from the end of April 2002).
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- You can save up to €254 per month
- The Government will add a further 25% to everything you save
- The Government share will be automatically added each month, thus
you are getting the benefit of compound interest on the government’s
share also.
- You are obliged to leave your savings for 5 years from the time
you start the Investment. If you decide to withdraw some or all of
your savings, there is a tax penalty of 23% on the total amount withdrawn
(other than on death). You are not obligated to close the account
at the end of the 5-year period but the government contribution will
end at that time.
- You are obliged to save every month for the full five years. However
you can adjust your monthly contributions from as low as €12.70
per month up to €254 per month. This is provided your bank or
savings institution will allow this flexibility. Many of these institutions
are requiring that you maintain the same contribution amount for the
first 12 months.
- A saver had to be age 18 years or older & resident in the Republic
of Ireland to open an SSIA. Each individual is only entitled to have
one SSIA.
- If you opened an account with only the minimum monthly contribution,
you should consider increasing your monthly contribution if at all
possible. This is because the 25% bonus awarded by the government
is worth more as your contributions increase into the scheme.
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Pooled Investments
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By pooling money, the investor gains the benefits of being
a single, larger investor. This means you are able to invest
in a wider range of investments than you could as an individual,
while having your money managed by a professional fund manager.
If you purchase a single piece of property, there are estate agents
fees, legal costs and stamp duties associated with the transaction.
Your portfolio is clearly not diversified and any downturn in the market
would seriously damage your investment - and that’s before any of the
headaches involved in managing an investment property, dealing with
tenants, repairmen etc. Also, property is not a liquid asset, so if
you need cash in a hurry you may have problems. Investing in individual
stocks also brings risk. As with property, there will be commissions
(many Irish brokers charge 1.5% with a minimum charge of €76 for
both buying and selling stocks) as well as stamp duties due on Irish
stocks when purchased. Given these high commissions, it can become very
expensive to build a diversified portfolio of stocks. While you can
usually sell the stock when you need cash with little difficulty, owning
individual stocks can be subject to the same risk as owning individual
property. Investors are not diversified and are exposed to fluctuation
in values of individual stocks.
Pooled investments on the other hand are usually made up of many individual
stocks or properties which can be spread over different sectors of the
market or in different locations/countries. Many pooled investments
are comprised of circa 10 properties or at least 15 individual stocks
(most managed funds have over 100 different stock holdings), providing
the small investor with an immediate diversified portfolio managed by
professionals. Naturally there are costs involved in purchasing and
owning a pooled investment. When the investment is purchased, there
will either be an initial entry charge or an early encashment penalty.
Please note that purchasing the pooled investment product through Primafinance
is cheaper than purchasing it through your bank, accountant or traditional
broker. See the Our Charges section of our web-site for more details.
Pooled investments are also subject to annual management fees, which
are typically 1.5%. There can be variations in the annual management
fees and investors should review these when making the decision to purchase
a pooled investment product. While these expenses can amount to a significant
amount over time, management expenses should not be the sole criteria
in selecting a fund. Funds with low expense ratios and poor performance
returns are as undesirable as funds with high expense ratios and poor
performance returns.
Pooled funds invest in assets whose value can go down as
well as up. As a result, neither the original sum invested
nor the rate of return is guaranteed. There are many forms
of pooled investment funds, some of which are explained
below.
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Tracker Bonds
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Tracker Bonds combine stock market returns with high levels
of capital guarantee. Tracker Bonds have seen enormous amount
of money move away from deposit accounts and towards these
products that on average have rewarded investors for doing
so.
Volatile stock markets and rock bottom Interest rates,
likely to fall further, make for ideal conditions for Tracker
Bonds.
However, Tracker Bonds are not immune to falling interest
rates and more recent tracker bonds have offered falling
participation in stock market growth or reduced capital
protection.
Tracker Bonds appeal to novice investors venturing beyond
the security of Bank deposit accounts. In addition, Tracker
Bonds may take up a small portion of an investment portfolio
in order to minimise the overall risk and provide short-medium
term liquidity.
The price for the capital guarantee on Tracker Bonds has
resulted in a declining maximum return available form the
stock markets i.e. expressed as a proportion of the index
growth e.g. 70% of index growth, or as a cap beyond which
investors cannot participate in index gains. In other words,
the financial institution keeps all the growth above a defined
level in exchange for protecting the investor on the downside.
Investors cannot access their money until the end of the
investment term.
PrimaFinance is not a particular fan of Tracker Bonds, Particularly
with interest rates so low and where most of the investment goes towards
securing the capital, which results in lower caps for capital growth.
There is also the risk that in falling stock markets, tracker bonds
will only return the original investment, which is less than what would
have been returned in a bank deposit account.
Primafinance would advise considering pooled investment funds that
still provide a capital guarantee but do not limit the upside potential.
With Profit bonds being the best example of an alternative product and
still providing a capital guarantee at the end of a specified term.
However, the investment term for With Profit bonds is now on average
10 years, with most of the bonus given out as a terminal bonus at the
end of the term.
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With Profit Funds
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With Profit bonds have been available
for years, and have grown in popularity in recent years with
up to 40% of all lump sum investments going into With Profit
Bonds. Most Life assurance companies offer With Profit Bonds.
With Profit Bonds invest in similar assets to pooled investments
such as equities, fixed-interest securities and cash. The
value of the underlying asset can go up and down in just the
same way. A With Profits Bond should be regarded as a medium
to long term investment.
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With Profit v Managed Fund
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A With Profit Bond differs from
a pooled investment in a number of ways:
You decide in advance how long you want to invest for - 7, 10 or 15
years.
With Profit bonds are designed to “Smooth Out” returns.
The Life Assurance Company does this by providing the return
to policyholders in three parts at the end of the specified
term;
- The ‘guaranteed sum assured’ is the minimum amount
that is payable at the end of the term,
- Each year the assurance company adds a bonus to the
guaranteed amount (the ‘reversionary bonus’), which is
payable at the end of the term, generally.
- At the end of the term, the life assurance Company
adds a further, usually larger bonus i.e. the ‘terminal
bonus’.
However, this is all at the discretion of the individual company.
With Profit bonds are popular because they give a degree
of security to the investor combined with good long-term
prospects. Generally, early encashment is not advisable,
as much of the return comes with the final bonus, and there
can be significant surrender penalties. Also, investors
should be aware that With Profit bonds might carry a “Market
Value Adjuster” on early encashment. This clause entitles
the company to reduce the final payment in the event of
a major change in market conditions or if large numbers
of investors wanted to encash at the same time.
There are two types of With Profit Bonds. The old-style
version is the “Traditional With Profit bond”, it is very
much like a guaranteed insurance bond. The new style version
is the “Unitised With Profit bond”, it is similar to an
open-ended unit linked fund. It is designed to have a more
transparent charging structure than the “traditional With
Profit Bond”. It is also designed to have a higher headline
annual bonus rate that would attract income investors. This
bonus rate however can change quickly in poor market conditions.
Benefits
- Provides an exposure to the growth potential of equity
markets while also offering a capital guarantee. Unit-linked
equity can fluctuate quite considerably over time.
- Once the guaranteed cash sum has been increased by
the addition of this annual bonus, it cannot be subsequently
reduced.
- Based on track record, one can reasonably expect a
terminal bonus to be added at the end of the period.
- The facility exists to encash stated amounts every
year as income.
Disadvantages
- The guarantee only applies if you stay the full term.
If you encash early, you may be hit with a surrender penalty.
You may also be charged an additional penalty called a
Market Value Adjuster (MVA). This MVA can be applied to
your bonuses and original capital.
- There is a low level of transparency and control. You
never see the investment performance of the underlying
With Profit Fund. Neither do you know whether the fund
has a surplus or deficit and the company has complete
discretion as to how much of the underlying “With Profit”
fund’s investment performance you will get should you
stay for the term, which can be up to 10 years.
- Paying approximately 6%-7% per annum before tax, the
unitised With Profit Bond looks very attractive to an
income investor. They need to be aware that;
- it is generally a ten year investment,
- that their annual income could
vary significantly, and
- taking an income can substantially
reduce their guarantees with some bonds.
- the longer-term return is broadly in lines with a cautiously
managed fund.
- MVAs may be applied in a market downturn if encashing
some or all of your investment or if many investors encash
their holdings at the same time.
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Theme Funds
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These funds are aimed at investors who want to get into
a particular market sector or region. The theme could be
a geographic region, such as emerging markets, a sector
such as technology or pharmaceuticals or a global macroeconomic
theme such as protection against inflation.
Investing through funds in specialist areas is less risky
for a retail investor than picking an individual technology
company or geographic region. Theme funds may be managed
on an active or an indexed basis.
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Indexed
Funds
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Also know as Trackers these funds aim to build a
broad-based exposure to a stock market or a number of markets
by buying different shares in the proportion on which they
are represented on the index/indices the fund are tracking.
The fund manager buys into companies represented on the
index and sells those that fall out. A tracker could be
based on one index, such as London’s FTSE, or on a number
of different indices.
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Consensus
Funds
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Irish Life introduced consensus fund management into the Irish Market
in 1996 and has since been followed by Hibernian, Canada Life and Friends
First. It is important to distinguish between consensus management and
passive or index management. In addition, the choice of investments
(equities, property, bonds and the geographical mix of equities) in
the funds is weighted in line with average managed funds. Funds are
rebalanced every quarter. The return should be in line with the return
in each market in which the fund is represented.
This concept is based on a finding, that over time only
about 25% of funds beat the performance of the indices and
up to 50% can perform below the index. Consensus funds aim
to take the risk of under-performance out of investing and
produce an average return. Critics argue that consensus
funds will never produce the best performance for investors.
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Passive or Index Management
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At the asset level index funds take a “weighting” in each
market based on its total relatives to the total world equity
market. If the UK equity market, for example, represents
10% of the world equity market a global equity index fund
will invest 10% of its total value in UK equities.
Similarly at a stock specific level a passively managed
fund will hold stocks in proportion to their market capitalisation.
If Lloyds Bank makes up 3% of the FTSE100 index then a passive
fund will hold 3% of its UK book in that stock and so on.
The important point is that passive managers do not attempt
to add value, as active mangers do, by following the strategies
such as market timing, theme selection, or individual stock
selection. Passive management has been gaining popularity
in the developed markets over the past number of years and
it is estimated that about 30% of funds in the US are managed
passively.
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Consensus Active Management
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Consensus fund management, on the other hand, uses the
average asset allocation of competitors to weight its holdings.
Irish Life take an average of the top 18 Irish funds managers
weightings in each main market at the end of each quarter
and adjust their holdings accordingly.
To work out how much of the fund to hold in the UK, for
example, Irish Life look at all the other managers' weightings.
Eagle Star might have say 17% while BIAM have 7% with the
other 16 fund mangers somewhere in between, the average
holding works out to be 10.6% and this is then the proportion
of the fund held in the UK. The process is repeated for
all the other major markets. Note that in this example the
passive weighting (10%) is quite close to the consensus
weighting (10.6%), this may not always be the case.
The attraction of consensus management to investors is
that they will never get really bad (or really good) performance.
This, however, has not been the experience to date: the
Irish Life Consensus fund has outperformed the managed sector
average by almost 3% per year since launch. It may seem
strange to complain about good performance but if it can
over-perform it can also under-perform and that is precisely
what consensus investors are attempting to avoid. This difference
in performance can arise for a number of reasons:
- Stock selection. Irish Life simply index their stock
selection and do not attempt to hold the same stocks as
the average managed fund. Therefore, Irish Life’s consensus
fund does not necessarily mirror the average managed fund
at the stock level and so performance can differ significantly.
- Rebalancing. Irish Life only adjusts the weightings
in their portfolio every quarter while active managers
can move on a daily basis. With a time lag of up to 3
months it is possible for the average to move away from
its previous level and so leave a consensus fund exposed.
- Competitors aren’t stupid. Since the introduction of
consensus funds it has become increasingly difficult to
gain access to competitor asset distributions at quarter
end with many investment managers delaying the release
of their asset distributions by weeks or even months.
On Balance, the consensus fund will be less volatile than
some managed funds but the danger is that the asset distribution
of a consensus fund can diverge significantly from the average.
Moreover, when it does diverge it becomes just a badly managed
active fund.
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Hedge Funds
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Hedge funds in Ireland are a very small market. George Soros bet against
Sterling in 1992 in an investment that was constructed using a hedge
funds.
Hedge funds can invest in equities, property, currencies,
interest rates, futures, derivatives, or almost any tradable
commodity.
Hedge funds usually operate by “going short” and using
“leverage”. Going short means selling something you don’t
have - a hedge fund will for example sell equities it does
not own, promising to deliver them to the buyer at a future
date. The deal is based on speculation - the fund will sell
equities if it believes the equity market will fall. Then
when the markets fall, it will be able to buy the equities
at a lower price and deliver them to the buyer it had already
sold them to at a profit.
The hedge fund makes a profit on its “short” deals when
the market moves as it expects. But, if the market moves
in the opposite direction the fund can lose heavily. It
will have to pay more to buy the equities it has already
sold at a lower price. Leveraging involves borrowing beyond
the value of the fund so it can do bigger deals on the market.
Private Investors that want to try a hedge fund should try
a “fund of funds”.
This is a fund invested in a number of hedge funds and
with the potential to reduce risk through diversification
both the investments and the fund managers involved.
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How do hedge funds work?
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For example, where a hedge fund is 2.5 times leveraged
and if that fund buys Microsoft and the stock falls by 20%
in value, then that investment within the Equity hedge fund
will have lost 50%(2.5 times multiplied by 20%) caused by
the leveraging effect. Conversely, if Microsoft increases
by 20%, the Hedge fund makes 50% on the stock.
Hedge funds can also make money if the market goes down,
if they have “shorted” the market. Shorting means the funds
sells a security (equity, bond or derivative product such
as a futures contract or option) with a view to buying the
security back at a lower price. Hedge funds generally have
a minimum investment of between €63, 487 and €126,974 . As a general rule, investors that are comfortable
with high-risk investments may consider having up to 10-15
% of their portfolio in a hedge fund(s).
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Corporate Bond
Funds
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These investments effectively make loans to companies or
corporations - and have been promoted as a high-yield alternative
to bank deposits. This investment is money advanced to a
company in return for a yield or interest and the repayment
of their capital at the end of the agree period. The higher
the yield offered the greater the risk in the investment.
Neither the income yield nor the capital value is guaranteed.
Corporate Bonds get vulnerable as economies slow down and
there is an increased risk that companies will not be able
to meet promised yield levels and that higher - risk companies
could fail.
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Income Producing Funds
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If you’re looking for an income and are of the view that
the current low interest rates offer little attraction,
and you don’t want the risk of volatile stocks and with
the Bacon reports having adversely effected the income from
property, here are some of the types of options worth considering.
- With - Profit Funds
These pay out between 5-6% of your investment per annum,
where the annual bonus declared by the Investment Company
is equal to your annual withdrawal; your capital should
remain intact. However, it is important to understand
taking an income does reduce your capital guarantee.
- Income Distribution Funds
These funds invest in high yielding equities, whereby
the dividend is distributed as an income each year. These
funds generally generate between 2% and 4% of income.
The income taken is not reducing the capital invested.
Irish Life and New Ireland have such funds.
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14. Property Investments
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Irish investors have a long-standing tradition of investing
in property and certainly Irish Investors have seen excellent
returns in recent years. Typically investors are drawn to
property for two reasons, i.e. the inherent “bricks & mortar”
security and long term capital growth represented by rising
property prices. There has been many a debate over the merits
of equities over property as an investment. The Equity enthusiasts
all too frequently conveniently forget the value of leverage
or “gearing-up” (i.e. borrowing to buy a property, thus
investing less of ones cash than to total cost) which is
all too frequently used when buying property. Indeed, borrowing
and property go hand in hand, which is not the case for
Equities.
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Effect of
Leverage/Gearing
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The effect of leveraging ones property investment is to
boost your returns significantly over the actual appreciation
of the asset, assuming the asset rises in value. Conversely,
where the property falls in value, leveraging would significantly
increase the loss to you over the actual fall of the value
of the property.
For example, Mr. Investor buys a property for €100,000
and borrows €50,000. Assuming the property rose in value
to €150,000 then the value of Mr. Investor’s cash investment
has doubled. This ignores all other costs associated with
property and assumes the net rental Income from the property
meet the loan repayments.
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Performance
Variations between Property and Equities
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Table 1 outlines how property, as measured by the Average
House Prices as published in the Housing Statistics Bulletins,
has performed relative to the Irish Stock market ISEQ Index.
It shows that property performance is not synchronised with
the performance of shares. Building a diversified portfolio
that includes both equities and property funds is one way
to offset this lack of synchronisation and provides protection
for the overall portfolio when one sector is under-performing.
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Table 1
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| Year |
Housing Statistics Bulletins |
ISEQ Index |
1989 |
10.92% |
30.89% |
| 1990 |
12.66% |
-29.24% |
| 1991 |
2.09% |
18.91% |
| 1992 |
3.51% |
-7.81% |
| 1993 |
0.89% |
59.01% |
| 1994 |
4.08% |
1.13% |
| 1995 |
7.23% |
25.04% |
| 1996 |
11.81% |
26.05% |
| 1997 |
17.22% |
52.70% |
| 1998 |
22.58% |
25.51% |
| 1999 |
18.53% |
0.43% |
| 2000 |
13.92% |
14.05% |
Direct Property Investment can give rise to high transaction
costs, e.g. stamp duty, legal costs etc and can offer poor
liquidity and poor diversification. Property funds minimise
these disadvantages in investing in property somewhat. Property
funds are an easy way to build the property portion of your
diversified portfolio.
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Growth of
Property Prices in Ireland
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Table 2 underlines one inevitable
truth, that property prices have always risen in nominal terms
at least.
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Table 2 Average House Prices 1970
to 2000
Average New House Prices in Ireland |
| Year |
Price (€) |
| 1970 |
€ 6,692 |
| 1975 |
€ 13,254 |
| 1980 |
€ 34,967 |
| 1985 |
€ 46,542 |
| 1990 |
€ 66,811 |
| 1995 |
€ 77,994 |
| 2000 |
€169,191 |
Source: Housing Statistics Bulletins |
Property Funds |
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Property funds have been hugely popular among investors in recent times,
and this is not surprising with property funds (and in particular Irish
Property funds) delivering well above average returns for most of the
past decade. The annualised returns over the past 5 years for Property
Funds is 14.3% compared with an annualised return on Irish Equity funds
of 2.03%. (Source: Moneymate).
Most Equity based fund managers will discredit Property
Investments frequently referring to historic/traditional
motivators influencing such decisions. However, the Investment
Performance figures would discount this view.
Undoubtedly, property funds represent a good way into the
market for first time investors, because it is a product
that is easy to understand and tends to be less volatile
that stocks and shares.
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How Property Funds Operate
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Property funds operate the same way as pooled Equity funds
and there are entry charges and annual management fees here
also. Your investment buys units within the fund, each unit
representing a portion of all the investments within the
fund. This therefore achieves diversification with the property
sector, between Industrial, commercial and retail units
as well as location diversification.
A major attraction with Property Funds is being able to
leverage ones investment, where the fund manager borrows
on the security and income capacity of the Properties within
the fund.
This increases the growth potential significantly, but
so too does it increase the downside risks. Irish Life has
offered some particularly attractive property funds in recent
times and has effectively harnessed the benefits of leverage.
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Recent Performance of
Property Funds
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Experts remain divided as to whether now is a good time
to invest in property, or indeed is now the time to get
out of properties. There is no doubt that property funds
have experienced a run of exceptional years and this hardly
can continue. Property valuations remained static from 1989
to 1993 in this country and when property funds are out
of favour liquidity may be an issue. Property funds need
to be seen as a long term Investment, and there are exit
charges for early encashment.
Norwich Union (now under Hibernian) and Irish Life have
the most impressive track record with Property funds over
the last 10 years. Needless to say, that as with all investments,
past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Overall,
property should make up a portion of an investment Portfolio,
and Property funds enable balance against the volatility
of the stock market funds.
Investors get access to a professionally managed well-diversified
property portfolio for as little as €6,349 . Purchasing
your property fund through PrimaFinance will cost you less
than purchasing the fund through a traditional broker.
See the Our Charges section
of this site for more details.
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Key Aspect to consider when considering property funds
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- Number of properties in a fund
The larger the number of property in a portfolio the better
- Timing of rent reviews and valuations
Fund managers generally revalue their properties quarterly.
While rent reviews generally take place every 5 years.
- Location of Properties
The majority of property funds marketed in Ireland invest
solely into Irish properties. While this has worked extremely
well over the past 5-6 years property funds should ideally
have economic diversification i.e. properties in different
countries
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| 15. Off
Shore Funds
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Some of the financial institutions that Primafinance has
agreements with offer investment products to residents of
the European Union. Visit our investment centre to view
a list of these products. If you are an Irish non-resident,
you can purchase one of these off shore products and not
be subject to Irish taxes. We do recommend that you speak
to your own tax advisor about any taxes that may be due
from investment income and capital gains in your resident
country. Other issues you may need to discuss include whether
you intend to return to live in Ireland sometime in the
future
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16.
Tips for Buying Direct Equities
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- Buy a good company but at a good price
Price is a very important factor. It might be a great
company but if it is fully valued by the market vis-à-vis
its peers, there's not much point buying it.
- Look at price/earning ratios (P/Es) and price to
book valuation measures The P/E ratio is the stock
price divided by the projected earnings figure. Another
way of describing it is the price an investor is willing
to pay for the future earnings stream of a company.
The price to book value is simply the price you are willing
to pay for the company's assets. For example, in the case
of the Meridien Group, its portfolio of hotel properties
would form a large portion of the assets value of the
company.
The dividend yield is the percentage annual return that
the company pays investors based on the monetary amount
of shares purchased.
Familiarise yourself with the evaluation ratios of the
stock. Examine other financial measures available such
as earnings before interest tax, depreciation and amortisation
(EBITDA), cost/sales ratios and other relevant measures.
It is important to look at these measures relative to
the history of the stock's own valuation. The company
should also be compared to its relevant global, not domestic,
peer group.
The objective is to identify stocks where you can be confident
the valuation is inappropriately low.
However…
Just as price is a measure of value, it doesn't necessarily
mean the stock is attractive. Sometimes stocks are cheap
for a good reason - perhaps the sector is out of favour.
What an investor needs to know is if this situation is
about to change, due to a new business strategy or other
catalyst that will propel the stock price forward.
- Is the sector attractive? Is it an industry that
is going to perform?
Many industries are passed over by professional investors
due to a combination of inadequate secular growth (steel),
excessive cyclicality (paper), poor competitive dynamics
(retail stocks in some cases due to oversupply) or dependence
on an artificial subsidised framework to support profitability
(bananas due to quotas).
Professional investors often have a strong bias towards
industries growing above gross domestic product (GDP)
levels and with free market forces in operation.
- Has the company a strong competitive position within
its sector?
Investors should ideally seek market leaders with an identified
and sustainable competitive advantage.
The company must have appropriate or better financial
strength - cash generation, interest cover, and debt/equity
ratios - for its industry. Read ex-Fidelity fund manager
Peter Lynch's book ‘One up on Wall Street’, or Benjamin
Graham's book ‘The Intelligent Investor’, for a better
understanding of the valuation measures mentioned in this
article.
- Tips
- The company should exhibit superior profitability
to its peers, and at a minimum, in excess of its cost
of capital. Measures that can be used are return on
equity (ROE), which in simple terms means the annual
percentage return of capital invested in the company.
- It should also have a strong historical track record
in terms of growth and profitability. It is more likely
that good companies will remain good and bad companies
will remain bad than for either to change direction.
Betting on corporate ugly ducklings or fallen angels
can sometimes pay off very well but it is usually
a loser's game.
- Try to satisfy yourself on the quality of top management:
research the web (www.bloomberg.com and www.reuters.com
are good sites), follow newspaper coverage of the
company and its management team and the strategy they
articulate.
- Market capitalisation/liquidity
The bigger the market cap of the company, the easier it
is to trade (buy or sell) the company's shares.
- Earnings momentum
A company with superior growth itself - with above average
earnings per share growth (EPS) and cashflow. Ideally,
you would like to see stocks with an identifiable pattern
of upgrades of analysts' financial forecasts.
- Technical
Without going into fine detail, look for stocks that are
exhibiting a well-behaved pattern of price action. This
means the share price has ideally shown positive momentum
or out-performance but without a strongly overbought position
having developed.
Trading patterns can be studied using the www.bloomberg.com
site.
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Now that you have a guide to evaluation stocks, can you expect
to make a killing in the market?
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Professional investors recommend a diversified portfolio
to reduce the risk of being over exposed to one sector that
may do very badly. Technology stocks last year are a perfect
example. Aiming for one "wonder" stock is a high-risk strategy.
Local stockbrokers are concerned that many private investors
have unrealistic expectations of their shareholdings. Professional
investors advise that owning a blue-chip portfolio should
average an annual return of between 10% and 15% over the
medium term (3-5years). If you want a higher return than
that, you are looking at riskier stocks, which can sometimes
have dramatic price savings.
Price movements of 60 and 70 % are no longer unusual over
short periods of time - this means days and weeks rather
than months.
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17. Investment Portfolio Asset Allocation
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Early life 30's to 50's

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Late 50's to 60's

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60's Plus

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| 18.
Investment Jargon Explained
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Bid-offer spread
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Is the difference between what investment units are bought
and sold for. There is usually a 2%-5% differential i.e.
it costs you that much more when you buy into a policy.
Effectively this is an entry charge.
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Per Cent Unit Allocation
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This is essentially the bid/offer spread under a different name. It
describes the per cent of your original amount that gets invested up
front. Higher investment amounts get a higher allocation and can sometimes
be over 100%. The amount of commission paid to the broker will have
an impact on this allocation.
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Management Charge
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An annual management charge is usually between 0.75%-1.5%
per annum for managing your investment. If the bid offer
spread is lower or non-existent, the management charge will
be higher.
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Market Value Adjuster
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The MVA is something that kicks
into a With-Profit policy if a lot of people cash in early
in the event of a sharp downturn in the markets. It means
that all of your capital may not be guaranteed and has been
used by detractors to knock With-Profit Bonds.
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Policy-fee
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A fee usually around €3 per month,
which is added on to your policy by most, but not all, insurance
companies. This only applies to Regular Savings Plans, and
while it may not seem like much it can represent a sizeable
chunk of a small monthly premium.
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Administration fee
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Levied to cover costs if the
investor wants to switch from one fund to another or to change
their premium level.
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Exit Charges
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Charge on investors that withdraw
their monies early and generally applies to products that
have no entry charge i.e. bid offer spread and are scaled
down over a number of years e.g. 5% penalty in the first year
of the investment, down to 1% penalty in year five.
As a general rule, Primafinance does not recommend that you invest in
a fund that has exit charges and also does not give 100% unit allocation
up front. |
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